The 2014 Ebola Virus Disease outbreak in West Africa is the largest to date by far. Ebola Virus Disease causes disproportionate mortality among the working-age population, resulting in far more mortality for parents of young children than other health crises.
... انظر المزيد + This paper combines data on the age distribution of current and projected mortality from Ebola with the fertility distribution of adults in Guinea, Liberia, and Sierra Leone, to estimate the likely impact of the epidemic on the number of orphans in these three countries. Using the latest mortality estimates (from February 11, 2015), it is estimated that more than 9,600 children have lost one or both parents to Ebola Virus Disease. The absolute numbers of orphans created by the Ebola epidemic are significant, but represent a small fraction (1.4 percent) of the existing orphan burden in the affected countries. Ebola is unlikely to increase the numbers of orphans beyond extended family networks' capacities to absorb them. Nonetheless, the pressures of caring for increased numbers of orphans may result in lower quality of care. These estimates should be used to guide policy to support family networks to improve the capacity to provide high quality care to orphans.
رؤية أقل ـ
The Ebola epidemic continues to cripple the economies of Liberia, Sierra Leone, and Guinea. The crisis is resulting in flat or negative income growth and creating large fiscal needs in all three countries, as they work to eradicate the virus.
... انظر المزيد + This update presents the World Banks most recent analysis of the economic effects of the Ebola epidemic on the three countries. All three had been growing rapidly in recent years, and into the first half of 2014. But GDP growth estimates for 2014 have been revised sharply downward since pre-crisis estimates. Projected 2014 growth in Liberia is now 2.2 percent (versus 5.9 percent before the crisis and 2.5 percent in October). Projected 2014 growth in Sierra Leone is now 4.0 percent (versus 11.3 percent before the crisis and 8.0 percent in October). Projected 2014 growth in Guinea is now 0.5 percent (versus 4.5 percent before the crisis and 2.4 percent in October). The World Banks October report on the economic impact of Ebola (report no. 91219 released at the 2014 Annual Meetings of the IMF and the World Bank) found that if the epidemic continues in the three worst-affected countries and spreads to neighboring countries, the two-year regional financial impact could range from a "low Ebola" estimate of $3.8 billion to a "high Ebola" estimate of $32.6 billion. These scale estimates of potential impact remain valid: the epidemic is not yet under control. Containment, combined with a full-fledged financial recovery effort to restart business activity and bring back investors, are now both therefore urgently needed for the region to improve on the downbeat forecasts in this update.
رؤية أقل ـ
The Education For All Project for Guinea was moderately unsatisfactory with a substantial risk to development outcome. Both the Bank and the Borrowers performance in the project was moderately unsatisfactory.
... انظر المزيد + Key changes made to the project through the following four restructurings include: revision of results framework to focus on primary education, scaling up of activities for primary education, additional financing revision of PDO and some revision of the results framework to align with project activities, and an extension of the closing date by six months. The following six lessons were learned from this project: (1) Strategic sequencing is critical in ensuring objectives can be achieved. Although many of the projects objectives have been achieved, a number of them might have been achieved in a timelier and more efficient manner if they had been more carefully selected and appropriately sequenced. (2) Student learning achievement levels which have been evaluated regularly by national structures, often in collaboration with regional institutions or specific programs can be used to inform policy. (3) One of the important building blocks for undertaking difficult reforms (e.g., related to human resources, budgeting, etc.) is the involvement of institutional staff intimately familiar with the issues rather than relying on a parallel project unit. (4) The Banks swift engagement in periods following a crisis can bring important dividends. (5) While consultancy services and technical assistance (TA) supported under the project had a positive impact on achievement of outcomes, the lack of skills transfer to staff from government institutions could inhibit the development of long-term capacity within the institutions. (6) In instances where a projects life extends far beyond what was originally envisaged, in-depth and periodic evaluations may provide the necessary data to effectively evaluate the projects progress towards achievement of the PDO as well as to undertake measures which further increase the likelihood that the project will achieve its intended development goals.
رؤية أقل ـ
تقرير إنجاز تنفيذ ونتائج المشروع 90841 NOV 27, 2014